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Data as of Q3 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
Average free cash flow across the last 3 positive fiscal years (FY2023, FY2024, FY2025). Smooths the cycle. Stock compensation is NOT charged — it is added back inside operating cash flow.
To be worth $9.41 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds 11.3%/yr for a decade (off $15.8M on the 3-yr avg basis).
On the basis ($9.3M) the requirement is 19.0%/yr. Shares issued to employees are added back in operating cash flow, so this basis treats them as free.
The market's 11.3% is more conservative than its 5-yr track record.
Default is 12.0% — this company's computed cost of capital (computed WACC), the same rate the Analysis tab discounts at.
2-stage DCF · 0.03B shares (market data) · net debt $42.4M
mean -425.8% · volatility σ 954% · implied rate exceeded in 2/4 yrs
Central path = implied 11.3%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (954%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $0 buybacks = $0 returned on $21.4M FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: -5%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $25.2M (at 2025-12-31) covers the $5.8M due within a year 4.3× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2026-09-30 (10-Q). The cash figure is from 2025-12-31, so the two are not the same balance-sheet date — the schedule has not been refiled since.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Thin coverage — earnings barely cover interest. Effective rate ~7.5% on $67.6M of debt.
Cash of $25.2M fully covers short-term debt of $4.3M.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | $119.1M 100.0% | $95.8M 100.0% | $76.1M 100.0% | $65.5M 100.0% | $73.2M 100.0% | $89.0M 100.0% | $54.4M 100.0% | $35.5M 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $45.7M | $37.7M | $33.5M 28.2% | $33.3M 34.8% | $29.5M 38.8% | $27.4M 41.8% | $29.8M 40.8% | $24.1M 27.1% | $12.6M 23.2% | $8.1M 22.8% |
| Gross Profit | $94.9M | $82.1M | $85.5M 71.8% | $62.5M 65.2% | $46.6M 61.2% | $38.1M 58.2% | $43.3M 59.2% | $39.5M 44.4% | $41.8M 76.8% | $27.4M 77.2% |
| Research & Development | $5.6M | $7.8M | $6.8M 5.7% | $6.1M 6.4% | $5.4M 7.1% | $6.0M 9.1% | $5.4M 7.3% | $6.0M 6.7% | $4.5M 8.2% | $2.9M 8.2% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $45.8M | $40.5M | $39.3M 33.0% | $33.9M 35.4% | $27.7M 36.4% | $36.3M 55.5% | $41.5M 56.8% | $36.8M 41.3% | $33.9M 62.2% | $21.0M 59.2% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $103.3M | $92.8M | $88.5M 74.3% | $73.8M 77.0% | $59.5M 78.3% | $53.0M 80.9% | $93.7M 128.1% | $64.4M 72.4% | $42.8M 78.7% | $26.2M 73.7% |
| Operating Income | -$8.4M | -$10.7M | -$3.0M -2.5% | -$11.3M -11.8% | -$13.0M -17.0% | -$14.9M -22.7% | -$50.4M -68.9% | -$10.7M -12.1% | -$1.0M -1.8% | $1.2M 3.5% |
| Interest Expense | $5.1M | $1.0M | $5.6M 4.7% | — | — | $2.2M 3.4% | $16.0M 21.9% | $8.6M 9.7% | $4.6M 8.5% | $2.0M 5.7% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | $121K | $8K | -$292K -0.2% | $1.4M 1.5% | $150K 0.2% | — | — | -$8.5M -9.6% | -$4.6M -8.5% | -$2.0M -5.7% |
| Pretax Income | -$12.5M | -$10.8M | -$9.1M -7.6% | -$14.4M -15.0% | $4.0M 5.3% | -$16.0M -24.4% | -$66.4M -90.8% | -$19.4M -21.8% | -$5.6M -10.3% | -$783K -2.2% |
| Income Tax Expense | $652K | $933K | $109K 0.1% | $112K 0.1% | $802K 1.1% | $337K 0.5% | -$24.1M -33.0% | -$8.0M -9.0% | $96K 0.2% | $189K 0.5% |
| Net Income | -$13.1M | -$11.8M | -$9.2M -7.7% | -$14.5M -15.1% | $3.2M 4.2% | -$16.3M -24.9% | $30.0M 41.0% | -$7.5M -8.5% | -$5.7M -10.5% | -$972K -2.7% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | -$0.48 | -$0.45 | -$0.42 | -$0.72 | $0.17 | -$1.03 | $1.93 | -$0.54 | -$0.53 | -$0.15 |
| EPS (Diluted) | -$0.48 | -$0.45 | -$0.42 | -$0.72 | $0.16 | -$1.03 | $1.93 | -$0.54 | -$0.53 | -$0.15 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 27.4M | 26.1M | 22.1M | 20.1M | 19.3M | 15.9M | 15.5M | 14.0M | 10.9M | 6.5M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 27.4M | 26.1M | 22.1M | 20.1M | 19.5M | 15.9M | 15.5M | 14.0M | 10.9M | 6.5M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Top 27 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Ranked against 20 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-09-30.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOT | $24.6B | — | — | 15.2× | 29.6% | 76.7% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% | — | 146 |
| LDOS | $17.9B | 12.8× | 7.0× | 1.0× | 3.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 29.5% | 29.3% | -0.5× | 206 |
| CACI | $14.9B | 28.0× | 19.7× | 1.6× | 10.9% | — | 5.6% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 4.7× | 161 |
| GDDY | $14.8B | 18.9× | 15.0× | 3.0× | 8.3% | — | 17.7% | 407% | 21.9% | 3.0× | 164 |
| JKHY | $11.3B | 23.1× | 16.8× | 4.5× | 7.1% | 43.7% | 19.8% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 0.1× | 195 |
| LNWO | $6.7B | 27.0× | 10.8× | 2.0× | 4.0% | 73.3% | 8.3% | 113% | 5.1% | 4.6× | 2 |
| OTEX | $6.5B | 10.3× | — | 1.2× | 1.5% | 73.7% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 6.6% | — | 42 |
| SAIC | $6.4B | 19.7× | 15.7× | 0.9× | -2.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 23.9% | 9.0% | 4.2× | 109 |
| WAY | $5.4B | 45.9× | 17.4× | 4.9× | 16.5% | — | 10.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6× | 69 |
| PSN | $5.3B | 23.0× | 13.3× | 0.8× | -5.7% | 22.5% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.7× | 57 |
| AGYS | $3.3B | 84.5× | 67.2× | 10.2× | 15.9% | 62.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | -2.5× | 51 |
| KD | $3.0B | 16.3× | — | 0.2× | 0.2% | 21.8% | 1.3% | 16.9% | 2.9% | — | 179 |
| NTCT | $2.8B | 29.5× | 13.2× | 3.3× | 4.5% | 79.4% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | -3.5× | 61 |
| PONY | $2.0B | — | — | 22.4× | 20.0% | 15.7% | -149% | -8.1% | -8.1% | — | 18 |
| OSPN | $946M | 13.7× | 15.0× | 3.9× | 0.0% | 73.8% | 30.0% | 26.8% | 26.8% | -1.2× | 31 |
| TLS | $405M | — | — | 2.5× | 52.2% | 37.0% | -22.2% | -38.1% | -38.1% | — | 24 |
| SLP | $374M | — | — | 4.7× | 13.1% | 58.4% | -81.7% | -51.9% | -51.9% | — | 25 |
| ASUR | $272M | — | 17.4× | — | — | — | — | -6.6% | -4.9% | 2.4× | 20 |
| SMRT | $260M | — | — | 1.7× | -12.9% | 32.7% | -39.8% | -26.1% | -26.1% | — | 11 |
| DMRC | $199M | — | — | 5.9× | -11.7% | 61.6% | -95.3% | -80.3% | -80.3% | — | — |
| UIS | $190M | — | 4.8× | 0.1× | -2.9% | 28.2% | -17.4% | 120% | -78.9% | 2.9× | 23 |
Peers = companies sharing ASUR's sector (Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 45th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
ROE -7% against ROIC -5% — -2% of the return on equity comes from leverage and buybacks rather than from the operating business.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
This shows debt/cash structure and net leverage. The year-by-year maturity schedule is on the Debt & Leverage tab.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Operating leverage needs meaningful revenue change.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 27.1 | 40.8 | 41.8 | 38.8 | 34.8 | 28.2 | — | — |
| Gross Profit | 44.4 | 59.2 | 58.2 | 61.2 | 65.2 | 71.8 | — | — |
| R&D | 6.7 | 7.3 | 9.1 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 5.7 | — | — |
| SG&A | 41.3 | 56.8 | 55.5 | 36.4 | 35.4 | 33.0 | — | — |
| Operating Income | -12.1 | -68.9 | -22.7 | -17.0 | -11.8 | -2.5 | — | — |
| Income Tax | -9.0 | -33.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — | — |
| Net Income | -8.5 | 41.0 | -24.9 | 4.2 | -15.1 | -7.7 | — | — |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on ASUR: price, valuation and headline fundamentals from SEC filings. The four questions at the top of the page are where the judgements live.
No positive operating income in the last three years, so there is no return on capital to compare against its cost.
| Fiscal year | Gross margin | Operating margin | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2016 | 77.2% | 3.5% | -2.7% |
| FY2017 | 76.8% | -1.8% | -10.5% |
| FY2018 | 44.4% | -12.1% | -8.5% |
| FY2019 | 59.2% | -68.9% | 41.0% |
| FY2020 | 58.2% | -22.7% | -24.9% |
| FY2021 | 61.2% | -17.0% | 4.2% |
| FY2022 | 65.2% | -11.8% | -15.1% |
| FY2023 | 71.8% | -2.5% | -7.7% |
Return on equity (-7%) and return on invested capital (-5%) are within a couple of points in FY2025, so the headline return is the operating return — there is no meaningful leverage effect to strip out.
No material counter-signal in the checked set: ROIC vs WACC spread, 5-year spread history, gross margin trend, operating margin trend, net margin against 3 years ago, revenue growth, ROIC ex-goodwill gap.
Missing from our data, so excluded from this answer: positive EBIT.
Fewer than three profitable years with a cash flow statement, so cash conversion cannot be judged.
No material counter-signal in the checked set: FCF / net income over 3 and 5 years, Sloan accruals, SBC as a share of revenue, SBC as a share of operating cash flow, SBC-adjusted free cash flow, free cash flow per diluted share, buybacks against SBC issued, capex vs depreciation, free cash flow against revenue, share count since the first year on file, cash conversion cycle (DSO, DIO, DPO), receivables growth against revenue growth.
Missing from our data, so excluded from this answer: 3 years of cash flow.
Stressed coverage falls to -1.2x — below the level at which interest is reliably covered.
| EBITDA decline | Interest coverage |
|---|---|
| 0% | -1.66x |
| 5% | -1.58x |
| 10% | -1.50x |
| 15% | -1.41x |
| 20% | -1.33x |
| 25% | -1.25x |
| 30% | -1.16x |
| 35% | -1.08x |
| 40% | -1.00x |
| 45% | -0.91x |
| 50% | -0.83x |
| 55% | -0.75x |
| 60% | -0.67x |
Ladder as of 2026-09-30 (10-Q); cash from the 2025-12-31 balance sheet; FCF from FY2025.
Balance sheet at 2025-12-31. Undrawn revolving credit is not shown: the tag is collected but not yet mapped through to the API.
The maturity schedule is not part of this verdict — its filing anchor is often older than the balance sheet it sits beside, so a wall inside 24 months may not be visible here.
At $9.41, free cash flow must compound 11.67%/yr for 10 years. It has no positive compounding record to compare against.
| Fiscal year | FCF growth | Price requires |
|---|---|---|
| FY2021 | −1852.4% | 11.7% |
| FY2023 | 52.5% | 11.7% |
| FY2024 | −49.8% | 11.7% |
| FY2025 | 146.4% | 11.7% |
The percentile ranks the FISCAL-YEAR point, because the distribution behind each strip is built from fiscal-year closes — ranking a TTM figure inside it would compare two different bases. TTM basis: TTM.
The implied rate has been matched or beaten in 2 of the last 4 years.
Last reported position per insider, carried forward. Steps can be a holding disclosed for the first time rather than a trade.
| Date | Insider | What it was | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 879 | $7.68 | $7k |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 628 | $7.68 | $5k |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 1,312 | $7.68 | $10k |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding |
Every row is classified by what it MEANT, not by its SEC code. A code is not a meaning: code P (“purchase”) also covers dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plans, and code S (“sale”) also covers 10b5-1 plan sales scheduled months earlier and option exercises sold the same day.
Across 30 days of all filings, $5.08bn of insider selling contained $3.50bn of plan sales and $0.46bn of exercise-and-sell. Only 29% was discretionary. Reading an unclassified feed badly overstates how much insiders decided.
Buys and sales are counted separately and never netted. They are different decisions by different people; a company where one officer bought while another sold is not “neutral”.
The holding line carries each insider's last reported position forward, so it shows the total held rather than a sawtooth of whoever traded that day. It covers only insiders who filed in the window.
“Filed late” counts calendar days past the two-business-day deadline with five days' grace, so a Thursday or Friday trade crossing a weekend is never flagged. It describes the company's filing discipline, not the trade.
Insider activity is descriptive. Nothing here is investment advice.
| 1,804 |
| $7.68 |
| $14k |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 1,312 | $7.68 | $10k |
| 2026-10-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 1,837 | $7.68 | $14k |
| 2026-09-01 | Goldstein Eyal Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 879 | $9.06 | $8k |
| 2026-09-01 | Pence John F Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 628 | $9.06 | $6k |
| 2026-08-11 | Reynolds Bjorn Director | Open-market sale | 15,420 | $8.35 | $129k |
| 2026-08-03 | Goldstein Eyal Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 879 | $8.76 | $8k |
| 2026-08-03 | Pence John F Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 628 | $8.76 | $6k |
| 2026-07-28 | Reynolds Bjorn Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Oberwager Bradford Scovill Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Lee Grace G. Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Gill Daniel M Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Drew William Carl Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Allen Ben F Director | Grant | 5,420 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 879 | $8.13 | $7k |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 628 | $8.13 | $5k |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 1,312 | $8.13 | $11k |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 1,804 | $8.13 | $15k |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 1,837 | $8.13 | $15k |
| 2026-07-01 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 1,312 | $8.13 | $11k |
| 2026-06-01 | Pence John F Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 628 | $9.66 | $6k |
| 2026-06-01 | Goldstein Eyal Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 879 | $9.66 | $8k |
| 2026-05-12 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $7.86 | $39k |
| 2026-05-12 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Tax withholding | 4,581 | $8.58 | $39k |
| 2026-05-12 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-05-11 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | $7.86 | $472k |
| 2026-05-11 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Tax withholding | 55,645 | $8.88 | $494k |
| 2026-05-11 | 3 co-filers Chief Financial Officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 2 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $7.86 | $39k |
| 2026-05-07 | 6 co-filers Chairman & CEO | Option exercise | 60,000 | $7.86 | $472k |
| 2026-05-07 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $7.86 | $39k |
| 2026-05-07 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | $7.86 | $472k |
| 2026-05-07 | 2 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Tax withholding | 4,282 | $9.18 | $39k |
| 2026-05-07 | 3 co-filers Chief Revenue Officer | Tax withholding | 54,768 | $9.18 | $503k |
| 2026-05-07 | 6 co-filers Chairman & CEO | Tax withholding | 54,768 | $9.18 | $503k |
| 2026-05-07 | 3 co-filers Group filing | Option exercise | 5,000 | $0.00 | — |