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Held by 134 of 2,417 reporting institutions (92th percentile) — extremely crowded.
Data as of Q3 2026
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Solve the discounted cash flow backwards, then stress-test the assumptions.
Average free cash flow across the last 1 positive fiscal year (FY2023). Smooths the cycle. Stock compensation is NOT charged — it is added back inside operating cash flow.
To be worth $14.25 today, the market must believe free cash flow compounds -8.7%/yr for a decade (off $1.62B on the 3-yr avg basis).
On the basis ($1.58B) the requirement is -8.4%/yr. Shares issued to employees are added back in operating cash flow, so this basis treats them as free.
Default is 6.9% — this company's computed cost of capital (computed WACC), the same rate the Analysis tab discounts at.
2-stage DCF · 0.57B shares (market data) · net debt $7.20B
Today's price is outside this grid at every discount rate shown — the assumptions it requires lie beyond the plotted range, which is itself the finding.
mean -57.5% · volatility σ 67% · implied rate exceeded in 1/6 yrs
Central path = implied -8.7%/yr growth; shaded band = ±1σ (67%) of this company's historical FCF volatility, widening with time. The wider the band, the less certain the growth.
Reverse DCF: rather than guessing a fair value, we solve for the growth the current price implies, then you stress-test the assumptions. Enterprise value of the FCF stream, less net debt, ÷ shares. Educational — not a recommendation.
What the company returns to shareholders — and whether it's covered by cash.
No dividend to cover. Last year: $0 dividends + $0 buybacks = $0 returned on -$1.02B FCF.
Yields use the latest fiscal-year dividends/buybacks over current market cap. Dividends and buybacks from the SEC cash-flow statement; payout coverage vs net income and free cash flow. Educational — not a recommendation.
How management deployed cash over 10 years — and what it earned on reinvestment.
A reinvestment story — most cash went back into growth rather than to shareholders.
Operating income fell despite reinvestment — a warning on capital productivity. Current ROIC on all capital: -11%. Rough measure (includes maintenance capex).
Cash uses aggregated from the SEC cash-flow statement over 10 fiscal years. "Return on reinvestment" is a rough proxy — operating-income change ÷ cumulative CapEx + M&A — and includes maintenance capex. Educational — not a recommendation.
How much the company owes, how it's trended, and how comfortably it's serviced.
Cash of $57.0M (at 2025-12-31) covers the $0 due within a year 57000000.0× over. Scheduled principal only (excludes interest & revolver draws). As of 2026-09-30 (10-Q). The cash figure is from 2025-12-31, so the two are not the same balance-sheet date — the schedule has not been refiled since.
Green ≤ 1.5× · amber ≤ 3× · red > 3× (leverage relative to cash earnings).
Interest expense isn't separately reported — often netted into “other income (expense), net.”
Cash vs short-term debt unavailable.
Mostly long-term debt (balance-sheet current vs non-current split). See the maturity ladder above for the year-by-year repayment schedule.
Debt, cash, interest and equity from the SEC balance sheet & income statement. Effective rate = interest ÷ average debt. Maturity ladder from the SEC long-term-debt repayment schedule. Educational — not a recommendation.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
How a revenue dollar becomes profit — FY2025
Dividends and buybacks are cash paid out, shown here against the same year's profit for scale — not funded from it.
Each value shows its share of revenue below it (common-size).
| Line Item | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | FY2020 | FY2019 | FY2018 | FY2017 | FY2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.61B 100.0% | $19.18B 100.0% | $22.00B 100.0% | $22.99B 100.0% | $20.44B 100.0% | $5.35B 100.0% | $1.99B 100.0% | $2.33B 100.0% | $1.87B 100.0% | $1.55B 100.0% |
| Cost of Revenue | $19.47B 104.6% | $19.12B 99.7% | $20.62B 93.8% | $20.47B 89.0% | $15.91B 77.8% | $5.10B 95.3% | $1.41B 71.1% | $1.52B 65.3% | $1.40B 74.9% | $1.27B 82.0% |
| Gross Profit | — | — | — | — | — | — | $575.7M 28.9% | $809.6M 34.7% | $467.6M 25.1% | $280.1M 18.0% |
| Selling, General & Admin | $543.0M 2.9% | $486.0M 2.5% | $577.0M 2.6% | $465.0M 2.0% | $422.0M 2.1% | $244.0M 4.6% | $113.0M 5.7% | $113.0M 4.8% | $102.9M 5.5% | $115.8M 7.4% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $20.19B 108.5% | $19.95B 104.0% | $21.34B 97.0% | $21.05B 91.6% | $16.43B 80.4% | $5.50B 102.7% | $146.4M 7.4% | $136.4M 5.8% | $77.4M 4.1% | $149.4M 9.6% |
| Operating Income | -$1.58B -8.5% | -$763.0M -4.0% | $659.0M 3.0% | $1.94B 8.4% | $4.01B 19.6% | -$142.0M -2.7% | $429.0M 21.6% | $673.0M 28.9% | $390.2M 20.9% | $130.7M 8.4% |
| Other Income (Expense), net | -$425.0M -2.3% | -$187.0M -1.0% | -$80.0M -0.4% | -$143.0M -0.6% | -$209.0M -1.0% | -$51.0M -1.0% | -$116.0M -5.8% | -$108.0M -4.6% | -$282.0M -15.1% | -$20.3M -1.3% |
| Pretax Income | -$2.00B -10.8% | -$950.0M -5.0% | $579.0M 2.6% | $1.80B 7.8% | $3.80B 18.6% | -$193.0M -3.6% | $313.0M 15.7% | $565.0M 24.2% | $108.2M 5.8% | $110.4M 7.1% |
| Income Tax Expense | -$581.0M -3.1% | -$236.0M -1.2% | $144.0M 0.7% | $423.0M 1.8% | $773.0M 3.8% | -$111.0M -2.1% | $18.0M 0.9% | -$475.0M -20.4% | -$252.4M -13.5% | -$12.2M -0.8% |
| Net Income | -$1.48B -7.9% | -$760.0M -4.0% | $385.0M 1.8% | $1.33B 5.8% | $2.99B 14.6% | -$122.0M -2.3% | $293.0M 14.7% | $1.13B 48.4% | $367.0M 19.7% | $174.1M 11.2% |
| Per Share | ||||||||||
| EPS (Basic) | -$2.91 | -$1.58 | $0.75 | $2.57 | $5.63 | -$0.32 | $1.06 | $3.80 | $1.28 | $0.88 |
| EPS (Diluted) | -$2.91 | -$1.58 | $0.75 | $2.55 | $5.36 | -$0.32 | $1.03 | $3.71 | $1.26 | $0.87 |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Basic) | 508.0M | 480.0M | 510.0M | 519.0M | 498.0M | 379.0M | 277.0M | 297.0M | 288.4M | 197.7M |
| Weighted Avg Shares (Diluted) | 508.0M | 480.0M | 511.0M | 524.0M | 558.0M | 379.0M | 284.0M | 304.0M | 293.0M | 200.1M |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (annual, fiscal year). Quarterly flow items are derived from cumulative filings; balance-sheet figures are as-of each period end. Ratios and margins are computed, not reported.
Total shares institutions bought (green) vs sold (red) each quarter across all holders.
Inferred from quarter-over-quarter change in each fund's 13F position (new stakes count as buys, exits as sells). Not tick-level trades.
Ranked against 2 sector peers with collected financials. Valuation from latest close × latest fiscal-year fundamentals; 13F conviction as of 2026-09-30.
Percentile is “goodness” within the peer set (100 = best). For valuation and leverage that means cheaper / less-levered ranks higher.
| Company | Mkt cap ▼ | P/E | EV/EBITDA | P/S | Rev gr | Gross | Net | ROE | ROIC | Net D/EBITDA | 13F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCCO | $149.9B | 33.9× | 19.4× | 11.2× | 17.4% | 60.1% | 32.4% | 39.4% | 24.4% | 0.3× | 240 |
| FCX | $89.7B | — | 10.9× | 3.5× | 1.8% | 28.2% | 16.0% | 22.0% | 14.7% | 0.6× | 609 |
| CLF | $8.1B | — | — | 0.4× | -3.0% | -4.6% | -7.9% | -24.2% | -11.1% | — | 134 |
Peers = companies sharing CLF's sector (Metal Mining) with collected SEC financials. Multiples use the most recent end-of-day close and latest fiscal-year fundamentals (trailing, not forward). Missing cells mean the peer never reported that line item, has no collected price, or has a non-positive denominator. Not investment advice.
Top 40 institutional holders — bubble size is position value, color is the move since last quarter. Hover any holder for detail.
Drag any bubble to rearrange · size = dollar value of the position
Last reported position per insider, carried forward. Steps can be a holding disclosed for the first time rather than a trade.
| Date | Insider | What it was | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Camara Edilson Director | Open-market buy | 7,400 | $13.49 | $100k |
| 2026-10-01 | Cronin Jane M. Director | Grant | 3,487 | $11.47 | $40k |
| 2026-10-01 | Bloom Ron A. Director | Grant | 3,487 | $11.47 | $40k |
| 2026-07-01 | Cronin Jane M. Director | Grant |
Every row is classified by what it MEANT, not by its SEC code. A code is not a meaning: code P (“purchase”) also covers dividend reinvestment and employee stock purchase plans, and code S (“sale”) also covers 10b5-1 plan sales scheduled months earlier and option exercises sold the same day.
Across 30 days of all filings, $5.08bn of insider selling contained $3.50bn of plan sales and $0.46bn of exercise-and-sell. Only 29% was discretionary. Reading an unclassified feed badly overstates how much insiders decided.
Buys and sales are counted separately and never netted. They are different decisions by different people; a company where one officer bought while another sold is not “neutral”.
The holding line carries each insider's last reported position forward, so it shows the total held rather than a sawtooth of whoever traded that day. It covers only insiders who filed in the window.
“Filed late” counts calendar days past the two-business-day deadline with five days' grace, so a Thursday or Friday trade crossing a weekend is never flagged. It describes the company's filing discipline, not the trade.
Insider activity is descriptive. Nothing here is investment advice.
| 4,246 |
| $9.42 |
| $40k |
| 2026-07-01 | Bloom Ron A. Director | Grant | 4,246 | $9.42 | $40k |
| 2026-06-05 | Goncalves Celso L Jr EVP, CFO | Open-market sale | 214,308 | $13.41 | $2.9m |
| 2026-04-21 | Baldwin John T Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-04-21 | Michael Ralph S Iii Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Yocum Arlene M Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Oren Ben Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Cronin Jane M. Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Camara Edilson Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Bloom Ron A. Director | Grant | 15,334 | $0.00 | $0 |
| 2026-04-01 | 2 co-filers Group filing | Grant | 2,418 | $8.27 | $20k |
| 2026-04-01 | Cronin Jane M. Director | Grant | 4,534 | $8.27 | $37k |
| 2026-04-01 | Bloom Ron A. Director | Grant | 4,837 | $8.27 | $40k |
| 2026-04-01 | 2 co-filers Group filing | Tax withholding | 725 | $8.27 | $6k |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers SVP, Controller & CAO | Grant | 29,573 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP Chief Legal Admin & Sec | Grant | 141,991 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP, CFO | Grant | 188,531 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP & President, CC Services | Grant | 163,791 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Grant | 198,128 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers Chairman, President & CEO | Grant | 650,900 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP & President, CC Services | Grant | 163,791 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers SVP, Controller & CAO | Grant | 29,573 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP, CFO | Grant | 188,531 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Grant | 198,128 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers EVP Chief Legal Admin & Sec | Grant | 141,991 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-18 | 2 co-filers Chairman, President & CEO | Grant | 650,900 | $0.00 | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Smith Clifford T EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sale | 200,000 | $10.46 | $2.1m |
| 2026-02-13 | Camara Edilson Director | Open-market buy | 19,700 | $10.13 | $200k |
| 2026-02-11 | Goncalves Lourenco Chairman, President & CEO | Open-market saleindirect | 3,000,000 | $12.42 | $37.3m |
| 2026-01-05 | Fedor Terry G. EVP, Engineering & Technology | Tax withholding | 6,922 | $13.20 | $91k |
| 2026-01-05 | Floriani Kimberly A SVP, Controller & CAO | Tax withholding | 3,182 | $13.20 | $42k |
| 2026-01-05 | Graham James D EVP Chief Legal Admin & Sec | Tax withholding | 13,991 | $13.20 | $185k |
| 2026-01-05 | Goncalves Celso L Jr EVP, CFO | Tax withholding | 18,775 | $13.20 | $248k |
| 2026-01-05 | Koci Keith EVP & President, CC Services | Tax withholding | 15,947 | $13.20 | $211k |
| 2026-01-05 | Smith Clifford T EVP & Chief Operating Officer | Tax withholding | 19,140 | $13.20 | $253k |
| 2026-01-05 | Goncalves Lourenco Chairman, President & CEO | Tax withholding | 84,229 | $13.20 | $1.1m |
| 2026-01-02 | Cronin Jane M. Director | Grant | 3,012 | $13.28 | $40k |
Total return (dividends reinvested) vs the market, from quarter-end prices.
Above 0 = ahead of the S&P 500 since the window start; below 0 = behind. Rising means it's pulling ahead.
How far the stock fell below its prior peak. Deeper, longer drawdowns = a rougher ride to the same return.
Quarter-end, dividend-adjusted (total return). Beta & volatility from quarterly returns (annualized). Benchmark is the S&P 500 (SPY total return). Annual returns compound the quarters ending in each calendar year; the first and last years in a window may be partial. Past performance doesn't predict future results.
EOD close · as of 2026-10-30
Where each multiple sits in its own 14-yr range · 48th pct blended
Dot = today · shaded = middle 50% · line = median. Lower percentile = cheaper vs its own 14-yr history.
Is the profit real, and how strong is the balance sheet?
FY2025 · every deduction from revenue to net income
DuPont — the three levers
ROE -24% against ROIC -11% — -13% of the return on equity comes from leverage and buybacks rather than from the operating business.
What the company owes vs. what it holds
This shows debt/cash structure and net leverage. The year-by-year maturity schedule is on the Debt & Leverage tab.
Latest year: profit growth vs revenue growth
Profit and sales moved in opposite directions this year.
Each line as % of revenue — the trend in color
| % of revenue | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cost of Revenue | 65.3 | 71.1 | 95.3 | 77.8 | 89.0 | 93.8 | 99.7 | 104.6 |
| Gross Profit | 34.7 | 28.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SG&A | 4.8 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Operating Income | 28.9 | 21.6 | -2.7 | 19.6 | 8.4 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -8.5 |
| Income Tax | -20.4 | 0.9 | -2.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -1.2 | -3.1 |
| Net Income | 48.4 | 14.7 | -2.3 | 14.6 | 5.8 | 1.8 | -4.0 | -7.9 |
Green = margin-favorable vs the row's own range · red = unfavorable.
The metrics that matter, over time
A 30-second read on CLF: price, valuation and headline fundamentals from SEC filings. The four questions at the top of the page are where the judgements live.
Earns -15.87pts against its cost of capital — capital is being consumed, not created.
| Period | ROIC | Cost of capital | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 15.2% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | 8.4pts |
| FY2020 | -1.4% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -8.3pts |
| FY2021 | 27.4% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | 20.5pts |
| FY2022 | 12.0% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | 5.1pts |
| FY2023 | 4.4% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -2.5pts |
| FY2024 | -4.1% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -11.0pts |
| FY2025 | -8.7% | 6.9% (today's — no rate published for this year) | -15.6pts |
| Now | -11.1% | 6.9% | -17.9pts |
| Fiscal year | Gross margin | Operating margin | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2016 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% |
| FY2017 | 25.1% | 20.9% | 19.7% |
| FY2018 | 34.7% | 28.9% | 48.4% |
| FY2019 | 28.9% | 21.6% | 14.7% |
| FY2020 | 4.7% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| FY2021 | 22.2% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| FY2022 | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| FY2023 | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| FY2024 | 0.3% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| FY2025 | -4.6% | -8.5% | -7.9% |
Return on equity is 13 points BELOW the return on invested capital, which means the equity base is carrying capital the operations are not earning on — usually cash, goodwill, or a recent raise.
ROE is on average equity; ROIC is NOPAT over average invested capital (debt plus equity less excess cash). The gap is not a single adjustment.
$1.8B of goodwill — 13% of invested capital. The gap is what was paid above the fair value of what was bought; it is real capital shareholders provided, so neither bar is the whole answer.
ROIC ex-goodwill is -10.34% against -8.98% reported — the return is earned on a capital base inflated by what was paid for acquisitions, not by the operating business alone.
Converts 1.43x of reported profit into free cash flow over 4 years, with accruals negative.
Reported free cash flow is -$1.02B; after share-based compensation it is -$1.08B. The difference is a real cost that the cash flow statement adds back.
Debt is present but there is no positive EBITDA or no reported interest expense, so coverage cannot be measured.
Ladder as of 2026-09-30 (10-Q); cash from the 2025-12-31 balance sheet; FCF from FY2025. Free cash flow is negative, so projected resources fall rather than accumulate.
Balance sheet at 2025-12-31. Undrawn revolving credit is not shown: the tag is collected but not yet mapped through to the API.
No material counter-signal in the checked set: net debt / EBITDA, interest coverage, stressed coverage, maturity schedule vs cash and one year of FCF, liquidity ratios.
Missing from our data, so excluded from this answer: ebitda, interest_expense.
At $14.25, free cash flow must compound -8.17%/yr for 10 years. It has no positive compounding record to compare against.
| Fiscal year | FCF growth | Price requires |
|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | −28.8% | −8.2% |
| FY2023 | 9.5% | −8.2% |
| FY2024 | −136.4% | −8.2% |
The percentile ranks the FISCAL-YEAR point, because the distribution behind each strip is built from fiscal-year closes — ranking a TTM figure inside it would compare two different bases. TTM basis: TTM.
The implied rate has been matched or beaten in 1 of the last 3 years.
| Step | Amount | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Net income | −$1.48B | −$1.48B |
| Share-based comp | $57M | −$1.42B |
| Other non-cash & working capital | $959M | −$462M |
| Operating cash flow | −$462M | −$462M |
| Capex | −$561M | −$1.02B |
| Free cash flow | −$1.02B | −$1.02B |
| FCF after SBC | −$1.08B | −$1.08B |
| Fiscal year | Revenue growth | Receivables growth | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FY2020 | 169.1% | 1143.6% | 974.6 points |
| FY2021 | 281.9% | 84.3% | -197.6 points |
| FY2022 | 12.4% | -9.0% | -21.5 points |
| FY2023 | -4.3% | -6.1% | -1.8 points |
| FY2024 | -12.8% | -14.3% | -1.6 points |
| FY2025 | -3.0% | -8.5% | -5.5 points |
| Fiscal year | DSO | DIO | DPO | Cash conversion cycle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2019 | 17.2 days | 81.8 days | 49.8 days | 49.2 days |
| FY2020 | 79.7 days | 273.9 days | 112.7 days | 240.9 days |
| FY2021 | 38.5 days | 119 days | 47.6 days | 109.9 days |
| FY2022 | 31.1 days | 91.5 days | 39 days | 83.6 days |
| FY2023 | 30.5 days | 78.9 days | 37.1 days | 72.3 days |
| FY2024 | 30 days | 97.2 days | 38.3 days | 88.9 days |
| FY2025 | 28.3 days | 89.5 days | 35.5 days | 82.3 days |
| Fiscal year | Accruals / assets |
|---|---|
| FY2019 | -7.8 percent |
| FY2020 | 0.8 percent |
| FY2021 | 1.1 percent |
| FY2022 | -5.8 percent |
| FY2023 | -10.7 percent |
| FY2024 | -4.1 percent |
| FY2025 | -5.1 percent |
Below the line, the asset base is being consumed faster than it is replaced.
Below the line for 5 consecutive years to the latest.
Depreciation here includes amortisation of acquired intangibles — goodwill written down over time, customer lists, acquired technology. Capex does not replace those and is not meant to, so an acquisitive or asset-light company sits below 1.0 permanently and correctly. The signal is cleanest for capital-intensive businesses, where the two measure the same physical base. For that reason this informs the earnings-quality verdict but never caps it.
SBC is added back inside operating cash flow, so reported free cash flow treats shares issued to employees as free. Percent of revenue says how expensive the payroll is; percent of operating cash flow says how much of the cash exists only because the charge was added back. The buyback offset is buybacks over SBC — below 1.0 the repurchase does not cover the shares issued.
Figures are the latest fiscal year (FY2025) from the company's own filings, not a trailing-twelve-month window — Q2 reads fiscal years throughout so the cash-conversion ratios and these share one basis. A blank is a line the filer did not report; it is never read as zero.